The latest GEP Global Supply Chain Volatility Index reveals a pivot in procurement strategy. While firms previously focused on drawing down safety buffers, the current acceleration in buying suggests a need to secure raw materials against mounting availability risks. Shortages of oil and oil-based products have become particularly acute, driving up transportation costs and complicating logistics for the first time since April.
Global Manufacturing Demand Rebounds Amid Rising Supply Constraints
Global factory purchasing activity surged in September, nearing 2026 highs as manufacturers scramble to meet strengthening demand. This uptick in orders across major industrial hubs, including the U.S. and Germany, coincides with the first increase in material shortages since May, signaling a tightening market heading into the fourth quarter.

John Piatek, vice president at GEP Consulting, warns that the window for cost-effective procurement may be closing. "For companies, the priority shifts from simply protecting inventory to securing supply," Piatek stated. While labor shortages have eased as a constraint on production, the combination of rising energy costs and renewed supply chain friction leaves manufacturers vulnerable. Regional performance remains uneven; while Asia and North America report heightened stress on supply capacity, Europe and the U.K. have seen a notable decrease in disruption as stockpiling activity retreats.




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